Review Speculative Attacks and Currency Crises

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Speculative Attacks and Currency Crises
By:Ms. Inci Ötker,Ceyla Pazarbasioglu
Published on 1995-11-01 by International Monetary Fund

This paper estimates a speculative attack model of currency crises in order to identify the role of economic fundamentals and any early warning signals of a potential currency crisis. The data from the Mexican economy was used to illustrate the model. Based on the results, a deterioration in fundamentals appears to have generated high one-step-ahead probabilities for the regime changes during the sample period 1982-1994. Particularly, increases in inflation differentials, appreciations of the real exchange rate, foreign reserve losses, expansionary monetary and fiscal policies, and increases in the share of short-term foreign currency debt appear to have contributed to the market pressures and regime changes in that period.

This Book was ranked at 8 by Google Books for keyword Currency crisis.

Book ID of Speculative Attacks and Currency Crises's Books is uSQ9lnCdWhUC, Book which was written byMs. Inci Ötker,Ceyla Pazarbasiogluhave ETAG "gHJTHl2veA4"

Book which was published by International Monetary Fund since 1995-11-01 have ISBNs, ISBN 13 Code is 9781455247509 and ISBN 10 Code is 1455247502

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Book which have "38 Pages" is Printed at BOOK under CategoryBusiness and Economics

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