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Leading Indicators of Currency Crises
By:Graciela Laura Kaminsky
Published on 1997-07-01 by International Monetary Fund

This paper examines the empirical evidence on currency crises and proposes a specific early warning system. This system involves monitoring the evolution of several indicators that tend to exhibit an unusual behavior in the periods preceding a crisis. When an indicator exceeds a certain threshold value, this is interpreted as a warning “signal” that a currency crisis may take place within the following 24 months. The variables that have the best track record within this approach include exports, deviations of the real exchange rate from trend, the ratio of broad money to gross international reserves, output, and equity prices.
This Book was ranked at 40 by Google Books for keyword Currency crisis.
Book ID of Leading Indicators of Currency Crises's Books is MNR3p4y77iAC, Book which was written byGraciela Laura Kaminskyhave ETAG "C2iJccvn9bA"
Book which was published by International Monetary Fund since 1997-07-01 have ISBNs, ISBN 13 Code is 9781451896350 and ISBN 10 Code is 1451896352
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Book which have "43 Pages" is Printed at BOOK under CategoryBusiness and Economics
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