Best Seller Currency Crises and Uncertainty About Fundamentals

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Currency Crises and Uncertainty About Fundamentals High quality books

Currency Crises and Uncertainty About Fundamentals
By:Mr. M. Sbracia,Mr. Alessandro Prati
Published on 2002-01-01 by International Monetary Fund

This paper studies how uncertainty about fundamentals contributed to currency crises from both a theoretical and an empirical perspective. We find evidenceCbased on a monthly dataset of Consensus forecasts for six Asian countries in the period January 1995-May 2001Cconfirming the theoretical predictions (from both unique- and multiple-equilibria models) that: (i) speculative attacks depend not only on actual and expected fundamentals but also on the variance of speculators'' expectations about them; and (ii) the sign of the effect of the variance depends on whether expected fundamentals are |good| or |bad.| These results are robust to the definition of exchange rate pressure indices, the estimation sample (precrisis vs. full sample), the method chosen to avoid spurious correlations, and possible time-varying coefficients for the mean, the variance, and the threshold separating good from bad expected fundamentals.

This Book was ranked at 7 by Google Books for keyword Currency crisis.

Book ID of Currency Crises and Uncertainty About Fundamentals's Books is zODrAOJS6nkC, Book which was written byMr. M. Sbracia,Mr. Alessandro Pratihave ETAG "YaaJ1DlORbQ"

Book which was published by International Monetary Fund since 2002-01-01 have ISBNs, ISBN 13 Code is 9781452783611 and ISBN 10 Code is 1452783616

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Book which have "46 Pages" is Printed at BOOK under CategoryBusiness and Economics

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